Thursday, 28 September 2023

Crypto News

Ethereum price risks losing the $1.6K support as multiple ETH price metrics decline

Ethereum price risks losing the $1.6K support as multiple ETH price metrics decline

Ether (ETH) price surged by 31.3% from March 10 to March 18, coinciding with the U.S. Federal Reserve’s injection of $300 billion to address the insolvency of Silicon Valley Bank.. Since then, Ether’s price consistently maintained a daily closing price above $1,600. 

However, investors are now casting doubt on Ether’s ability to sustain this support level, given the prevailing bearish sentiment in the cryptocurrency space and declining metrics on the Ethereum network.

Over the past six months, the cryptocurrency sector has been plagued by negative developments. Notably, the Digital Currency Group (DCG), the owner of Grayscale mutual fund manager, has faced financial troubles. Concerns are mounting that a portion of the $4.8 billion worth of ETH deposits held in the Grayscale Ethereum Trust could be liquidated to address DCG’s debts.

Furthermore, two major global exchanges, Binance and Coinbase, are currently facing legal action from the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC). Additionally, investors initially expressed excitement when several requests for futures-based Ether exchange-traded funds (ETFs) surfaced in early August. However, it’s important to note that these instruments, unlike spot ETFs, would not involve actual ETH coins if approved.

On-chain metrics point to declining demand

Aside from a handful of unfavorable market conditions, Ethereum’s on-chain metrics point to a stagnation in demand, both in terms of ETH investments and smart contract transactions.

Number of Ethereum addresses with ETH minimum $1,000 deposits. Source: CoinMetrics

Notably, the number of Ethereum addresses holding a minimum of $1,000 worth of ETH deposits has reached its lowest level in nearly six months. This is concerning, considering that Ether’s price reached a peak of $2,130 in mid-April, which should have attracted new investors.

Part of the lack of investor interest can be attributed to the fact that Ethereum’s average transaction fee has remained above $4 for the past six months. Consequently, despite fluctuations in network staking metrics, there appears to be no increase in the total number of investors when using the $1,000 threshold as a proxy.

Moreover, data on decentralized application (DApps) activity on the Ethereum network corroborates the notion of a dearth of new users.

Ethereum network top DApps, 30 day active addresses. Souce: DappRadar

Even excluding the significant 60% decline in the Uniswap NFT Aggregator, the average number of active…

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