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Monthly Ethereum options data suggests $2K will remain an elusive target

Monthly Ethereum options data suggests $2K will remain an elusive target

Since failing to close above the $2,000 mark, Ether (ETH) price has faced a steep 16.8% correction, but this was not enough to give bears an edge in the August $1.27 billion monthly options expiry.

Ether USD price index, 12-hour chart. Source: TradingView

Currently there are mixed feelings about the network’s upcoming change to a proof of stake (PoS) consensus network and analysts like @DWhitmanBTC, believe the potential benefits of PoS do not supercede the absence of a supply cap and multiple changes in the monetary policy over time.

Regardless of the long-term impact, Ether price was positively impacted by the tentative Merge migration date announcement from a July 14 Ethereum developers call. Influencer and technical analyst Crypto Rover said that Ether would “drop so hard on the Merge day,” as a result of traders unwinding their positions.

One thing is for sure, leveraged Ether buyers were not expecting the steep correction on Aug. 18 and data from Coinglass shows the move liquidated $208 million at derivatives exchanges.

Bears placed their bets below $1,600

The open interest for Ether’s July monthly options expiry is $1.27 billion, but the actual figure will be lower since bears were overly-optimistic after ETH traded below $1,600 between Aug. 20 and Aug. 22. Breaking above that resistance surprised bears because only 17% of the put (sell) options for Aug. 26 have been placed above that price level.

Ether options aggregate open interest for Aug. 26. Source: Coinglass

The 1.18 call-to-put ratio shows the dominance of the $685 million call (buy) open interest against the $585 million put (sell) options. Nevertheless, as Ether stands near $1,650, most of these bearish bets will become worthless.

If Ether’s price remains above $1,600 at 8:00 am UTC on Aug. 26, only $95 million put (sell) options will be available. This difference happens because a right to sell Ether at $1,600 or lower is worthless if Ether trades above that level on expiry.

Bulls completely dominate the August expiry

Below are the three most likely scenarios based on the current price…

Click Here to Read the Full Original Article at Cointelegraph.com News…